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Tropical Storm Erin Tracker: New Map Shows Which Homeowners Could Be in Danger When Storm Turns Into Hurricane

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National Hurricane Center Tropical Storm Erin tracker

National Hurricane Center

Alerts are in place for several islands in the Caribbean as Tropical Storm Erin grows into the first potential major hurricane of 2025.

Erin is expected to reach hurricane intensity by Saturday morning, as it tracks just north of the Caribbean islands, where it could bring “rain, gusty winds and high surf,” according to the Weather Channel. Tropical storm watches have been issued for Anguilla, Barbuda, St. Martin, St. Barthelemy, Saba and St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten.

By Monday, Erin could potentially reach Category 4 strength, according to the latest from the National Hurricane Center. As for her trajectory, that still remains unclear, but the best estimations suggest Erin is expected to pass between North Carolina and Bermuda.

However, the probability of Erin making landfall along the U.S. East Coast is low, according to experts. But even if the storm doesn’t make it to land, Erin will still produce high surf and dangerous rip currents along the U.S. East Coast next week, so coastal homeowners should take care.

The Weather Channel  erin storm tracker
Tropical Storm Erin is projected to form into a hurricane by the weekend, potentially a Cat 4.

(The Weather Channel )

The 2025 hurricane season is expected to be “above normal”

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) updated its 2025 hurricane season outlook—originally released in May—reaffirming its forecast for “above-normal” Atlantic hurricane activity before the season ends Nov. 30.

NOAA experts say the likelihood of a more intense-than-typical hurricane season is 50%, down from 60% in May.

The agency expects 13 to 18 named storms with winds of at least 39 mph, of which five to nine could become hurricanes with winds of 74 mph or higher. Of those, two to five could escalate to major hurricanes with winds of 111 mph or more.

“As we witnessed last year with significant inland flooding from hurricanes Helene and Debby, the impacts of hurricanes can reach far beyond coastal communities,” acting NOAA Administrator Laura Grimm said in a NOAA report.

A 2025 hurricane risk report by Cotality, a data-driven tech company, found more than 33.1 million residential properties—with a combined reconstruction cost value (RCV) of $11.7 trillion—are at moderate or greater risk of sustaining damage from hurricane-force winds.

Florida, Texas, North Carolina, New Jersey, New York, and Massachusetts are among the states with the highest number of homes and RCV at moderate or greater risk of hurricane wind damage.

How to prepare for a hurricane before it makes landfall

The best defense is a good offense. While there’s only so much you can do to protect your home, there’s enough to give you and your family peace of mind during hurricane season.

First, get the essentials in order.

“Ideally, you’d get hurricane-ready in the months leading up to the start of hurricane season on June 1st. This is when you should gather water, nonperishable foods, and a go-bag of important documents and other necessities, like cash and prescription medications,” says Rachael Gauthier, meteorologist at the Insurance Institute for Business & Home Safety in Charlotte, NC.

When a storm is forecast or approaching, insurance companies typically issue “binding restrictions,” meaning they stop issuing new policies or increasing coverage until the threat has passed. That’s why it’s important to have coverage locked in well before the season starts.

If you live in a hurricane zone, getting ideal coverage can be challenging. It’s also wise to keep emergency savings on hand to cover damages not insured.

“An emergency savings buffer is vital to being ready to cover unexpected costs,” advises Melanie Musson, an insurance expert at Clearsurance.com. “If a hurricane rips off your siding and you’re not covered by home insurance, your emergency savings can help you recover financially.”

Before disaster strikes, create an evacuation route and designate meeting places inside and outside your home.

“Everyone should have an evacuation plan, since there’s always a risk you’ll have to leave your home in a hurry,” says Musson.

Once a hurricane is confirmed to be headed your way, focus on fortifying your home and ensuring your family’s safety.

“A few days before incoming storms, it’s a good idea to board up windows, bring in outside items that could become flying projectiles in high winds, and stock up on extra fuel for generators and/or vehicles,” says Gauthier.


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